Thursday, December 18, 2014

VBCE Daily Foreign Exchange Update for Thursday, Dec. 18th, 2014


USDCAD spot rate: 1.1605 - 1.1610 (AS AT 8:52AM PST)

RANGES:
Asia:
1.1626
to
1.1648
 
Europe:
1.1569
to
1.1647
 
North America:
1.1582
to
1.1630

Technical Support / Resistance:

S2
S1
R1
R2
1.1465
1.1600
1.1667
1.1700

Key Economic Data Releases:

-U.S. Fed interest rate decision:
-U.S. initial jobless claims: 289k (exp. 295k)
-U.S. Markit Services PMI: 53.6 (exp. 56.9)
-U.S. leading indicators: 0.6 (exp. 0.5)
-U.S. Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey: 24.5 (exp. 27.0)

Key Event Calendar:

DATE
CANADA
U.S.A.
 
 
 
Dec. 19
CPI, retail sales
 
 
 
 

Yesterday, USDCAD traded from 1.1623 up to 1.1672 before falling to 1.1560 after the 11:00am Fed announcement. The move lower was short-lived and USDCAD climbed back to hold near 1.1640 for the balance of the session. The Fed stated that “it can be patient in beginning to normalize the stance of monetary policy. The Committee sees this guidance as consistent with its previous statement that it likely will be appropriate to maintain the 0 to 1/4 percent target range for the federal funds rate for a considerable time following the end of its asset purchase program.” This gave the markets confidence and the USD was the best performing currency after the Fed statement and both equity markets and oil gained on the news. Overnight, global markets followed suit with the Japanese Nikkei up 2.32% and the EURSTOXX50 up 3.33%. USDCAD dropped to 1.1569 as oil continued to climb. The pairing opened this morning at 1.1582 and climbed to 1.1630 as oil pared its gains. USDCAD has since fallen to 1.1600. Tomorrow, Canadian core inflation is expected to tick up from 2.3% to 2.4%y/y. Retail sales are expected to decline by 0.2% after having gained 0.8% previously.
Currently, the TSX and the DJIA are up 0.10% and 1.41% respectively. EURCAD is down 0.50% trading between 1.4236 and 1.4377. GBPCAD is up 0.40% trading between 1.8095 and 1.8202. JPYCAD is down 0.40% trading between 0.00973 and 0.00982. Gold is up 0.54% trading between $1,189 and $1,214USD/oz, silver is down 0.14% trading between $15.72 and $16.23USD/oz, while oil is down 1.19%, trading between $55.09 and $59.01.

Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, FXStreet, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve, CNBC, Forexlive

 

0 comments

Post a Comment