Tuesday, December 16, 2014

VBCE Daily Foreign Exchange Update for Tuesday, Dec. 16th, 2014



USDCAD spot rate: 1.1630 - 1.1635 (AS AT 8:07AM PST)

RANGES:
Asia:
1.1634
to
1.1673
 
Europe:
1.1635
to
1.1658
 
North America:
1.1607
to
1.1655

Technical Support / Resistance:

S2
S1
R1
R2
1.1400
1.1465
1.1627
1.1667

Key Economic Data Releases:

-Canada manufacturing shipments: -0.6% (exp. -0.4%)
-U.S. building permits: 1.035 million (exp. 1.06 million)
-U.S. housing starts: 1.028 million (exp. 1.04 million)
-U.S. Markit manufacturing index: 53.7 (exp. 55.2)

Key Event Calendar:

DATE
CANADA
U.S.A.
 
 
 
Dec. 17
Wholesale sales
CPI, Fed interest rate decision
Dec. 18
 
Jobless claims, Markit services PMI
Dec. 19
CPI, retail sales
 

Yesterday, USDCAD traded from 1.1549 up to 1.1670, its highest level since July of 2009 on risk aversion flows stemming from another plunge in oil prices and Russian ruble weakness. The Russian central bank announced an interest rate hike from 10.5% up to 17% to try to stem its currency weakness. Over the past year, the USD has gained 120% on the RUB. Overnight RUBUSD reached 80, an all-time high before pulling back to 72. Asian equity markets followed yesterday’s North American markets lower with oil hitting a new low of $53.64. Volatility has been extremely high with USDJPY falling from 118 down to 115.57 after having hit a 7 year high of 121.85 just one week ago. North American markets are erasing yesterday’s losses and oil has bounced taking USDJPY back up to 117.70. USDCAD has fallen from 1.1655 to 1.1607 before bouncing to 1.1630 this morning. Currently, the TSX and the DJIA are up 1.30% and 0.50% respectively. EURCAD is up 0.30% trading between 1.4475 and 1.4644. GBPCAD is up 0.30% trading between 1.8196 and 1.8399. JPYCAD is up 0.30% trading between 0.00989 and 0.01008. Gold is down 0.80% trading between $1,187 and $1,223USD/oz, silver is down 4% trading between $15.54 and $16.65USD/oz, while oil is up 1%, trading between $53.64 and $56.39.

Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, FXStreet, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve, CNBC, Forexlive

 

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