Monday, December 15, 2014

VBCE Daily Foreign Exchange Update for Monday, Dec. 15th, 2014


USDCAD spot rate: 1.1615 - 1.1620 (AS AT 8:14AM PST)

RANGES:
Asia:
1.1549
to
1.1606
 
Europe:
1.1557
to
1.1589
 
North America:
1.1586
to
1.1629

Technical Support / Resistance:

S2
S1
R1
R2
1.1400
1.1465
1.1627
1.1667

Key Economic Data Releases:
-U.S. industrial production: 1.3% (exp. 0.7%)
-U.S. capacity utilization: 80.1% (exp. 79.3%)
-U.S. NY Empire State manufacturing index: -3.58 (exp. 12.0)

Key Event Calendar:

DATE
CANADA
U.S.A.
 
 
 
Dec. 16
Manufacturing shipments
Building permits, housing starts, Markit mfg
Dec. 17
Wholesale sales
CPI, Fed interest rate decision
Dec. 18
 
Jobless claims, Markit services PMI
Dec. 19
CPI, retail sales
 

On Friday, USDCAD traded from 1.1518 up to 1.1591 before falling back to 1.1518. The move lower was short-lived and USDCAD subsequently climbed to 1.1572 where it remained for the balance of the North American session. Japan election results were announced yesterday and it was no surprise that PM Abe won another term. Volatility in yen pairings combined with a jump in oil due to port closures in Libya saw USDCAD climb to 1.1606 before falling to 1.1549. Oil has resumed its downtrend this morning and equity markets have fallen into negative territory after initially trending higher on strong U.S. industrial production data. USDCAD has broken above 1.1600 extending up to 1.1624/29 thus far – the highest level since July of 2009. Currently, the TSX and the DJIA are down 0.18% and 0.19% respectively. EURCAD is unchanged trading between 1.4371 and 1.4469. GBPCAD is down 0.20% trading between 1.8116 and 1.8250. JPYCAD is up 0.83% trading between 0.00973 and 0.00984. Gold is down 0.65% trading between $1,206 and $1,224USD/oz, silver is down 1% trading between $16.77 and $17.05USD/oz, while oil is down 1.64%, trading between $56.28 and $58.70.

Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, FXStreet, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve, CNBC, Forexlive


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