Showing posts with label Weekly Market Dispatch. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Weekly Market Dispatch. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 12, 2014

VBCE Daily Foreign Exchange Update for Wednesday, Nov. 12th, 2014



USDCAD spot rate: 1.1305 - 1.1310 (AS AT 8:10AM PST)
RANGES:
Asia:
1.1333
to
1.1359

Europe:
1.1314
to
1.1348

North America:
1.1280
to
1.1323

Technical Support / Resistance:
S2
S1
R1
R2
1.1210
1.1280
1.1400
1.1440
Key Economic Data Releases:
-U.S. wholesale sales: 0.2% (exp. -0.1%)
-U.S. wholesale inventories: 0.3% (exp. 0.2%)
Key Event Calendar:
DATE
CANADA
U.S.A.



Nov. 13
Bank of Canada review
Initial jobless claims
Nov. 14
Manufacturing shipments
Retail sales, consumer sentiment
Yesterday, USDCAD traded from 1.1380 up to 1.1401 before falling to 1.1326 in thin trading conditions as Canada and the U.S. observed Remembrance Day and Veteran’s Day respectively. Overnight, USDCAD climbed to 1.1359 and then eased to 1.1314. The pairing has since fallen to 1.1280/85, its lowest level since Monday, Nov. 3RD. USDCAD has since bounced to 1.1310 only to fall back and test the 1.1285 level a 3RD time this morning. The GBP is the worst performing currency as any chance of an interest rate hike by the Bank of England is off the table as the inflation forecast was reduced from 1.9% to 1.2% for this year. GBPCAD has fallen from 1.8076 to 1.7841, its lowest level since early September. Currently, the TSX is up 0.20% while the DJIA is down 0.38%. EURCAD is down 0.25% trading between 1.4068 and 1.4173. GBPCAD is down 1% trading between 1.7841 and 1.8076. JPYCAD is up 0.30% trading between 0.00978 and 0.00985. Gold is up 0.13% trading between $1,160 and $1,170USD/oz, silver down 0.24% trading between $15.58 and $15.78USD/oz, while oil is down 0.28%, trading between $76.89 and $77.81.

Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, FXStreet, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve, CNBC, Forexlive


 
Please contact the VBCE trading desk at 604-685-1008 for more information on our foreign exchange and wire payment services. Updates by stevebrown@vbce.ca  

The information contained in this report has been compiled by our VBCE traders from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by VBCE as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness.  All opinions and estimates contained in this report constitute VBCE’s judgment as of the date of this report, are subject to change without notice and are provided in good faith but without legal responsibility.  Nothing in this report constitutes legal, accounting or tax advice or individually tailored investment advice.  This material is prepared for general circulation to clients and has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it.  This report is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any currency or precious metals.  Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur.  To the full extent permitted by law neither VBCE nor any other person, accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or the information contained herein.  No matter contained in this document may be reproduced or copied by any means without the prior consent of VBCE

 
Copyright © VBCE, All rights reserved.

For foreign currency exchange rates, visit www.vbce.ca/rates/major-currencies
For rates on precious metals, visit www.vbce.ca/rates/precious-metals

For questions, please contact us at info@vbce.ca  or 604-685-1008.
#120-800 West Pender Street, Vancouver, BC V6C 2V6
 

Friday, November 7, 2014

VBCE Daily Foreign Exchange Update for Friday, Nov. 7th, 2014

USDCAD spot rate: 1.1345 - 1.1350 (AS AT 7:46AM PST)

RANGES:
Asia:
1.1420
to
1.1443
 
Europe:
1.1424
to
1.1446
 
North America:
1.1331
to
1.1448

Technical Support / Resistance:

S2
S1
R1
R2
1.1296
1.1330
1.1384
1.1440

Key Economic Data Releases:

-Canada net employment change: 43,100 (exp. -5,000)
-Canada unemployment rate: 6.5% (exp. 6.8%)
-Canada labour participation rate: 66.0% (exp. 66.0%)
-U.S. Non-farm payrolls: 214k (exp. 235k) *prior revised from 248k up to 256k
-U.S. unemployment rate: 5.8% (exp. 5.9%)
-U.S. participation rate: 62.8% (exp. 62.7%)

Key Event Calendar:

DATE
CANADA
U.S.A.
 
 
 
Nov. 10
Housing starts
 
Nov. 11
Remembrance Day
Veterans Day
Nov. 12
 
Wholesale inventories
Nov. 13
Bank of Canada review
Initial jobless claims
Nov. 14
Manufacturing shipments
Retail sales, consumer sentiment

Yesterday, USDCAD traded from 1.1380 up to 1.1441 before dropping back to 1.1390. The move lower was short-lived as USDCAD climbed back to hold a 1.1420 – 1.1443 range for the balance of the day. The pairing traded to 1.1448 just as the Canadian and U.S. job stats were being released at 5:30am this morning. The headline U.S. data was mixed while the Canadian data was far better than expected for the 2ND straight month. The unemployment rate in Canada reached a 6 year low and USDCAD dropped from 1.1448 down to 1.1331. A corrective bounce to 1.1380 has been followed by another move lower to 1.1345. The pairing has since stabilized in a 1.1345 – 1.1365 range. Since the release of the jobs data, the CAD is the best performing currency while the USD has been the worst performer, even losing ground to the down-trending JPY (after posting a new 7 year high of 115.58, USDJPY dropped to 114.46) and EURO. (initial move down to a 2 year low of 1.2358 followed by move up to 1.2442) Currently, the TSX is up 0.57% while the DJIA is down 0.15%. EURCAD is down 0.25% trading between 1.4056 and 1.4190. GBPCAD is down 0.80% trading between 1.7943 and 1.8127. JPYCAD is down 0.40% trading between 0.00986 and 0.00993. Gold is up 1% trading between $1,132 and $1,167USD/oz, silver up 1% trading between $15.08 and $15.77USD/oz, while oil is up 1.4%, trading between $77.49 and $79.22.
Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, FXStreet, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve, CNBC, Forexlive

 
 
 Please contact the VBCE trading desk at 604-685-1008 for more information on our foreign exchange and wire payment services. Updates by stevebrown@vbce.ca  
 
The information contained in this report has been compiled by our VBCE traders from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by VBCE as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness.  All opinions and estimates contained in this report constitute VBCE’s judgment as of the date of this report, are subject to change without notice and are provided in good faith but without legal responsibility.  Nothing in this report constitutes legal, accounting or tax advice or individually tailored investment advice.  This material is prepared for general circulation to clients and has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it.  This report is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any currency or precious metals.  Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur.  To the full extent permitted by law neither VBCE nor any other person, accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or the information contained herein.  No matter contained in this document may be reproduced or copied by any means without the prior consent of VBCE
 
 
Copyright © VBCE, All rights reserved.

For foreign currency exchange rates, visit www.vbce.ca/rates/major-currencies
For rates on precious metals, visit www.vbce.ca/rates/precious-metals

For questions, please contact us at info@vbce.ca  or 604-685-1008.
#120-800 West Pender Street, Vancouver, BC V6C 2V6




Wednesday, November 5, 2014

VBCE Daily Foreign Exchange Update for Wednesday, Nov. 5th, 2014

USDCAD spot rate: 1.1390 - 1.1395 (AS AT 8:50AM PST)

RANGES:
Asia:
1.1391
to
1.1429
 
Europe:
1.1429
to
1.1466
 
North America:
1.1384
to
1.1452

Technical Support / Resistance:

S2
S1
R1
R2
1.1296
1.1384
1.1466
1.1578

Key Economic Data Releases:
-U.S. ADP employment change: 230k (exp. 220k)
-U.S. Markit services PMI: 57.1 (prev. 58.9)
-U.S. ISM non-manufacturing index: 57.1 (exp. 58.0)

Key Event Calendar:

DATE
CANADA
U.S.A.
 
 
 
Nov. 6
Building permits, Ivey PMI
Initial jobless claims
Nov. 7
Net employment change,
Non-farm payrolls, unemployment rate
 
unemployment rate
Participation rate

Yesterday, USDCAD traded from 1.1341 up to 1.1429 before falling back to 1.1390. The pairing regained the 1.1400 level in late North American trade. From a technical standpoint, the former 5 year high of 1.1384 now become the short-term support level. The recent CAD weakness can be attributed to dovish comments from the Bank of Canada, a 25% decline in oil prices over the past 5 months, and broad-based USD strength. Over the past two months the USD has been the best preforming currency. (Gaining the most vs. the JPY - more than 10% and gaining the least vs. the CAD ~ 3.5%) USDCAD climbed to 1.1466 overnight but has fallen to 1.1384 this morning. Oil prices have surged on smaller U.S. inventories (460,000 barrels vs. exp. 2.2 million barrels) and a report about a pipeline explosion in Saudi Arabia. Also, there is a report that Canadian 2ND quarter GDP has been revised higher from 3.1% to 3.6%. The main event risk comes Friday with Canadian and U.S. job stats. After adding 74,100 jobs prior, Canada is expected to show a 5,000 decline and the unemployment rate is expected to tick up from 6.8% to 6.9%. The U.S. is expected to add 231,000 jobs after adding 248,000 jobs in the previous month. The unemployment rate should hold steady at 5.9%. Currently, the TSX and the DJIA are up 1.21% and 0.20% respectively. EURCAD is down 0.60% trading between 1.4225 and 1.4335. GBPCAD is down 0.40% trading between 1.8167 and 1.8276. JPYCAD is down 1% trading between 0.00995 and 0.01005. Gold is down 2.2% trading between $1,138 and $1,169USD/oz, silver down 3.5% trading between $15.16 and $16.06USD/oz, while oil is up 3%, trading between $76.49 and $79.31.

Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, FXStreet, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve, CNBC, Forexlive

Please contact the VBCE trading desk at 604-685-1008 for more information on our foreign exchange and wire payment services. Updates by stevebrown@vbce.ca

 
The information contained in this report has been compiled by our VBCE traders from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by VBCE as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness.  All opinions and estimates contained in this report constitute VBCE’s judgment as of the date of this report, are subject to change without notice and are provided in good faith but without legal responsibility.  Nothing in this report constitutes legal, accounting or tax advice or individually tailored investment advice.  This material is prepared for general circulation to clients and has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it.  This report is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any currency or precious metals.  Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur.  To the full extent permitted by law neither VBCE nor any other person, accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or the information contained herein.  No matter contained in this document may be reproduced or copied by any means without the prior consent of VBCE
 
Copyright © VBCE, All rights reserved.

For foreign currency exchange rates, visit www.vbce.ca/rates/major-currencies
For rates on precious metals, visit www.vbce.ca/rates/precious-metals

For questions, please contact us at info@vbce.ca  or 604-685-1008.
#120-800 West Pender Street, Vancouver, BC V6C 2V6