Friday, January 16, 2015

USDCAD makes gains to 1.2045 before falling back to 1.1970


VBCE Daily Foreign Exchange Update for Friday, Jan. 16th, 2015

USDCAD spot rate: 1.1970 - 1.1975 (AS AT 8:00AM PST)

RANGES:
Asia:
1.1955
to
1.1984
 
Europe:
1.1961
to
1.1999
 
North America:
1.1966
to
1.2046

Technical Support / Resistance:

S2
S1
R1
R2
1.1733
1.1800
1.2046
1.2200

Key Economic Data Releases:

-U.S. consumer price index m/m: -0.4% (exp. -0.4%) y/y: 0.8% (exp. 0.7%)
-U.S. CPI ex food & energy m/m: 0.0% (exp. 0.1%) y/y: 1.6% (exp. 1.7%)
-U.S. industrial production: -0.1% (exp. 0.0%)
-U.S. consumer sentiment index: 98.2 (exp. 94.1)
- U.S. producer price index m/m: -0.3% (exp. -0.4%) y/y: 1.1% (exp. 1.0%)

Key Event Calendar:

DATE
CANADA
U.S.A.
 
 
 
Jan. 19
Net foreign securities transactions
Martin Luther King Day
Jan. 20
Manufacturing shipments
 
Jan. 21
Bank of Canada interest rate
Building permits, housing starts
Jan. 22
 
Jobless claims, housing price index
Jan. 23
CPI, retail sales
Markit mfg PMI, existing home sales

Yesterday, USDCAD traded from 1.1940 up to 1.1994 before falling to 1.1803. Oil continued its 3rd day of gains reaching $51.44 in the immediate after-math of the Swiss National Bank announcement. Markets were taken by surprise when the SNB removed its 3 year old cap of 1.20 for EURCHF. In one of the most volatile days on record, oil dropped back to $46 within hours of reaching $51.44 and USDCAD quickly bounced back above 1.1900 reaching 1.1970 in late North American trade. The pairing broke above 1.20 this morning making gains to 1.2046 before falling back to 1.2005. A 2ND attempt higher stalled at 1.2030 as oil made gains to $48 and USDCAD dropped back to 1.1970. The worst performing currency is the EURO for the 2ND straight day with EURUSD reaching an 11 year low. Currently, the TSX is up 1.14% while the DJIA is unchanged. EURCAD is down 1.2% trading between 1.3755 and 1.3964. GBPCAD is down 0.35% trading between 1.8090 and 1.8279. JPYCAD is down 1.15% trading between 0.01017 and 0.01033. Gold is up 1% trading between $1,255 and $1,278USD/oz, silver is up 2.53% trading between $16.90 and $17.60USD/oz, while oil is up 2.55%, trading between $45.99 and $48.79.

Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, FXStreet, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve, CNBC, Forexlive

 


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