Tuesday, November 18, 2014

VBCE Daily Foreign Exchange Update for Tuesday, Nov. 18th, 2014


USDCAD spot rate: 1.1305 - 1.1310 (
AS AT 8:18AM PST)


RANGES:
Asia:
1.1272
to
1.1307
 
Europe:
1.1260
to
1.1291
 
North America:
1.1285
to
1.1324

Technical Support / Resistance:

S2
S1
R1
R2
1.1210
1.1265
1.1328
1.1384

Key Economic Data Releases:

-
U.S. producer price index m/m: 0.2% (exp. -0.1%)
y/y: 1.5% (exp. 1.3%)
-
U.S. PPI ex food & energy m/m: 0.4% (exp. 0.1%)
y/y: 1.8% (exp. 1.5%)
Key Event Calendar:
 
 
 
 
DATE
 
CANADA
 
U.S.A.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Nov. 19
 
 
 
Building permits, housing starts, FOMC minutes
 
Nov. 20
 
Wholesale sales
 
CPI, jobless claims, Markit mfg PMI, existing
 
 
 
 
 
home sales, Phil.Fed mfg survey, leading indicator
 
Nov. 21
Consumer price index
 
 
 

Yesterday, USDCAD traded from 1.1269 up to 1.1328 before falling back to hold a 1.1292 – 1.1307 range for the balance of the North American session. Broad-based USD and JPY weakness during the Asian session saw USDCAD dip to 1.1272. A move to 1.1260 in London has been followed by a bounce to 1.1324 this morning. U.S. inflation data was stronger than expected and the USD recovered some of its losses after the data release. The move up was short-lived with USDCAD immediately falling back to 1.1295. The pairing has since climbed back to 1.1315 and fallen to 1.1305/10. The best performing currency is the EURO benefitting from a stronger than expected ZEW economic sentiment survey (11.0 vs. exp. 4.3). The JPY continues to underperform as Japanese Prime Minister Abe delayed another sales tax hike by 18 months and called an election for next month. JPYCAD traded down to a new 7 year low of 0.00964. Currently, the TSX and the DJIA are up 0.43% and 0.24% respectively. EURCAD is up 0.75% trading between 1.4048 and 1.4191. GBPCAD is unchanged trading between 1.7612 and 1.7718. JPYCAD is unchanged trading between 0.00964 and 0.00970. Gold is up 0.81% trading between $1,183 and $1,204USD/oz, silver is up 0.52% trading between $16.01 and $16.42USD/oz, while oil is down 1.26%, trading between $74.49 and $76.39.
Sources: Reuters, Bloomberg, FXStreet, RBC Capital Markets, Bank of Canada, U.S. Federal Reserve, CNBC, Forexlive

 
 
Please contact the VBCE trading desk at 604-685-1008 for more information on our foreign exchange and wire payment services. Updates by stevebrown@vbce.ca 

The information contained in this report has been compiled by our VBCE traders from sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made by VBCE as to its accuracy, completeness or correctness.  All opinions and estimates contained in this report constitute VBCE’s judgment as of the date of this report, are subject to change without notice and are provided in good faith but without legal responsibility.  Nothing in this report constitutes legal, accounting or tax advice or individually tailored investment advice.  This material is prepared for general circulation to clients and has been prepared without regard to the individual financial circumstances and objectives of persons who receive it.  This report is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any currency or precious metals.  Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur.  To the full extent permitted by law neither VBCE nor any other person, accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct or consequential loss arising from any use of this report or the information contained herein.  No matter contained in this document may be reproduced or copied by any means without the prior consent of VBCE.

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